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Biblioteca (s) : |
INIA Treinta y Tres. |
Fecha : |
28/03/2016 |
Actualizado : |
24/09/2018 |
Tipo de producción científica : |
Artículos en Revistas Indexadas Internacionales |
Autor : |
BASSU, S.; BRISSON, N.; DURAND, J.L.; BOOTE, K.; LIZASO, J.; JONES, J.W.; ROSENZWEIG, C.; RUANE, A.C.; ADAM, M.; BARON, C.; BASSO, B.; BIERNATH, C.; BOOGAARD, H.; CONIJN, S.; CORBEELS, M.L; DERYNG, D.; SANTIS, G. DE; GAYLER, S.; GRASSINI, P.; HATFIELD, J.; HOEK, S.; IZAURRALDE, C.; JONGSCHAAP, R.; KEMANIAN, A.R.; KERSEBAUM, C.KIM, S-H.; KUMAR, N.; MAKOWSKI, D.; MÜLLER, C.; NENDEL, C.; PRIESACK, E.; PRAVIA, V.; SAU, F.; SHCHERBAK, I.; TAO, F.; TEXEIRA, E.; TIMLIN, D.; WAHA, K. |
Afiliación : |
MARIA VIRGINIA PRAVIA NIN, INIA (Instituto Nacional de Investigación Agropecuaria), Uruguay; Department of Plant Science, The Pennsylvania State University, USA. |
Título : |
How do various maize crop models vary in their responses to climate change factors? |
Fecha de publicación : |
2014 |
Fuente / Imprenta : |
Global Change Biology, 2014, v.20(7), p. 2301-2320. |
DOI : |
10.1111/gcb.12520 |
Idioma : |
Inglés |
Notas : |
Article history: Received 7 June 2013 and accepted 2 December 2013, published 2014. |
Contenido : |
Abstract:
Potential consequences of climate change on crop production can be studied using mechanistic crop simulation models. While a broad variety of maize simulation models exist, it is not known whether different models diverge on grain yield responses to changes in climatic factors, or whether they agree in their general trends related to phenology, growth, and yield. With the goal of analyzing the sensitivity of simulated yields to changes in temperature and atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations [CO2], we present the largest maize crop model intercomparison to date, including 23 different models. These models were evaluated for four locations representing a wide range of maize production conditions in the world: Lusignan (France), Ames (USA), Rio Verde (Brazil) and Morogoro (Tanzania).
While individual models differed considerably in absolute yield simulation at the four sites, an ensemble of a minimum number of models was able to simulate absolute yields accurately at the four sites even with low data forcalibration, thus suggesting that using an ensemble of models has merit. Temperature increase had strong negative influence on modeled yield response of roughly 0.5 Mg ha1 per °C. Doubling [CO2] from 360 to 720 lmol mol1 increased grain yield by 7.5% on average across models and the sites. That would therefore make temperature the main factor altering maize yields at the end of this century. Furthermore, there was a large uncertainty in the yield response to [CO2] among models. Model responses to temperature and [CO2] did not differ whether models were simulated with low calibration information or, simulated with high level of calibration information. MenosAbstract:
Potential consequences of climate change on crop production can be studied using mechanistic crop simulation models. While a broad variety of maize simulation models exist, it is not known whether different models diverge on grain yield responses to changes in climatic factors, or whether they agree in their general trends related to phenology, growth, and yield. With the goal of analyzing the sensitivity of simulated yields to changes in temperature and atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations [CO2], we present the largest maize crop model intercomparison to date, including 23 different models. These models were evaluated for four locations representing a wide range of maize production conditions in the world: Lusignan (France), Ames (USA), Rio Verde (Brazil) and Morogoro (Tanzania).
While individual models differed considerably in absolute yield simulation at the four sites, an ensemble of a minimum number of models was able to simulate absolute yields accurately at the four sites even with low data forcalibration, thus suggesting that using an ensemble of models has merit. Temperature increase had strong negative influence on modeled yield response of roughly 0.5 Mg ha1 per °C. Doubling [CO2] from 360 to 720 lmol mol1 increased grain yield by 7.5% on average across models and the sites. That would therefore make temperature the main factor altering maize yields at the end of this century. Furthermore, there was a large uncertainty in the yield response to [CO2]... Presentar Todo |
Palabras claves : |
AGMIP; CARBON DIOXIDE; CLIMATE; CO2; GRAIN YIELD; MAIZE; MODEL INTERCOMPARISON; MODELIZACIÓN DE CULTIVOS; SIMULATION MODELS; TEMPERATURE. |
Thesagro : |
CLIMA; DIOXIDO DE CARBONO; INCERTIDUMBRE; MAÍZ; MODELOS DE SIMULACIÓN; TEMPERATURA. |
Asunto categoría : |
U10 Métodos matemáticos y estadísticos |
Marc : |
LEADER 03684naa a2200769 a 4500 001 1054517 005 2018-09-24 008 2014 bl uuuu u00u1 u #d 024 7 $a10.1111/gcb.12520$2DOI 100 1 $aBASSU, S. 245 $aHow do various maize crop models vary in their responses to climate change factors?$h[electronic resource] 260 $c2014 500 $aArticle history: Received 7 June 2013 and accepted 2 December 2013, published 2014. 520 $aAbstract: Potential consequences of climate change on crop production can be studied using mechanistic crop simulation models. While a broad variety of maize simulation models exist, it is not known whether different models diverge on grain yield responses to changes in climatic factors, or whether they agree in their general trends related to phenology, growth, and yield. With the goal of analyzing the sensitivity of simulated yields to changes in temperature and atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations [CO2], we present the largest maize crop model intercomparison to date, including 23 different models. These models were evaluated for four locations representing a wide range of maize production conditions in the world: Lusignan (France), Ames (USA), Rio Verde (Brazil) and Morogoro (Tanzania). While individual models differed considerably in absolute yield simulation at the four sites, an ensemble of a minimum number of models was able to simulate absolute yields accurately at the four sites even with low data forcalibration, thus suggesting that using an ensemble of models has merit. Temperature increase had strong negative influence on modeled yield response of roughly 0.5 Mg ha1 per °C. Doubling [CO2] from 360 to 720 lmol mol1 increased grain yield by 7.5% on average across models and the sites. That would therefore make temperature the main factor altering maize yields at the end of this century. Furthermore, there was a large uncertainty in the yield response to [CO2] among models. Model responses to temperature and [CO2] did not differ whether models were simulated with low calibration information or, simulated with high level of calibration information. 650 $aCLIMA 650 $aDIOXIDO DE CARBONO 650 $aINCERTIDUMBRE 650 $aMAÍZ 650 $aMODELOS DE SIMULACIÓN 650 $aTEMPERATURA 653 $aAGMIP 653 $aCARBON DIOXIDE 653 $aCLIMATE 653 $aCO2 653 $aGRAIN YIELD 653 $aMAIZE 653 $aMODEL INTERCOMPARISON 653 $aMODELIZACIÓN DE CULTIVOS 653 $aSIMULATION MODELS 653 $aTEMPERATURE 700 1 $aBRISSON, N. 700 1 $aDURAND, J.L. 700 1 $aBOOTE, K. 700 1 $aLIZASO, J. 700 1 $aJONES, J.W. 700 1 $aROSENZWEIG, C. 700 1 $aRUANE, A.C. 700 1 $aADAM, M. 700 1 $aBARON, C. 700 1 $aBASSO, B. 700 1 $aBIERNATH, C. 700 1 $aBOOGAARD, H. 700 1 $aCONIJN, S. 700 1 $aCORBEELS, M.L 700 1 $aDERYNG, D. 700 1 $aSANTIS, G. DE 700 1 $aGAYLER, S. 700 1 $aGRASSINI, P. 700 1 $aHATFIELD, J. 700 1 $aHOEK, S. 700 1 $aIZAURRALDE, C. 700 1 $aJONGSCHAAP, R. 700 1 $aKEMANIAN, A.R. 700 1 $aKERSEBAUM, C.KIM, S-H. 700 1 $aKUMAR, N. 700 1 $aMAKOWSKI, D. 700 1 $aMÜLLER, C. 700 1 $aNENDEL, C. 700 1 $aPRIESACK, E. 700 1 $aPRAVIA, V. 700 1 $aSAU, F. 700 1 $aSHCHERBAK, I. 700 1 $aTAO, F. 700 1 $aTEXEIRA, E. 700 1 $aTIMLIN, D. 700 1 $aWAHA, K. 773 $tGlobal Change Biology, 2014$gv.20(7), p. 2301-2320.
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Registros recuperados : 428 | |
122. | | QUINTANS, G.; BANCHERO, G.; CARRIQUIRY, M.; LÓPEZ, C.; BALDI, F. Efecto de la condición corporal y la restricción del amamantamiento con y sin presencia del ternero sobre la producción de leche, anestro posparto y crecimiento de los terneros Capítulo 3. Alternativas de manejo nutricional, control del amamantamiento y tratamientos hormonales durante el posparto. In: QUINTANS, G.; VELAZCO, J.I.; ROIG, G. (Eds.). Seminario de actualización técnica: cría vacuna. Montevideo (Uruguay): INIA, 2008. p. 172-181 (INIA Serie Técnica ; 174)Tipo: Capítulo en Libro Técnico-Científico |
Biblioteca(s): INIA Las Brujas; INIA Tacuarembó; INIA Treinta y Tres. |
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123. | | LÓPEZ-MAZZ, C.; QUINTANS, G.; BALDI, F.; BANCHERO, G. Efecto de la esquila a los 50 días de gestación sobre la condición corporal, concentración de ácidos grasos no esterificados en plasma de la oveja y peso vivo de los corderos al nacimiento. En: Congreso Asociación Uruguaya de Producción Animal (AUPA) (5º, 2014, Montevideo, UY). 2014. [Actas], Montevideo, Uruguay. Disponibles desde la página web de la AUPA.Tipo: Trabajos en Congresos/Conferencias |
Biblioteca(s): INIA Treinta y Tres. |
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128. | | QUINTANS, G.; BANCHERO, G.; ROIG, G.; CARRIQUIRY, M. Efecto de una suplementación corta preparto sobre la performance reproductiva y productiva de vacas multíparas In: INIA TREINTA Y TRES. Jornada de divulgación de Producción Animal - Pasturas Treinta y Tres (Uruguay): INIA, 2009 p. 53-60 (INIA Serie Actividades de Difusión ; 591) Programa Nacional Pasturas y Forrajes: Ing. Agr., PhD. Walter Ayala, Director de Programa, Ing. Agr., MPhil. Raúl Bermúdez, Ing. Agr., MSc. Virginia Pravia, Lic., MSc. Felipe Lezama, Téc. en Sistemas Intensivos de Prod.Animal Ethel...Tipo: Actividades de Difusión |
Biblioteca(s): INIA Las Brujas; INIA Tacuarembó. |
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129. | | QUINTANS, G.; SCARSI, A.; VELAZCO, J.I.; BANCHERO, G. Effect of different forage allowances in the pre- and postpartum period on the production of beef cows. In: Annual Meeting of the European Federation of Animal Science (EAAP), 64., 2013, Nantes, FR. Session 58: cattle production free communications. Wageningen, NL: WAP, 2013. 27 p. Comunicación que acompañó la presentación oral.Tipo: Presentaciones Orales |
Biblioteca(s): INIA La Estanzuela; INIA Treinta y Tres. |
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132. | | BANCHERO, G.; VAZQUEZ, A.; QUINTANS, G.; CIAPPESONI, G. Estudio preliminar del crecimiento, desarrollo e indicadores reproductivos de hembras de seis biotipos ovinos en Uruguay. [Preliminary study of growth, development, and reproductive indicators in females of six sheep biotypes in Uruguay]. Agrociencia Uruguay, v. 18, n. 2, p. 117-127, 2014. Historia del artículo: Recibido: 29/4/14 Aceptado: 16/10/14.Tipo: Artículos en Revistas Indexadas Internacionales | Circulación / Nivel : B - 2 |
Biblioteca(s): INIA La Estanzuela; INIA Treinta y Tres. |
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136. | | BANCHERO, G.; MONTOSSI, F.; DE BARBIERI, I.; QUINTANS, G. Esquila preparto: algunos mecanismos implicados que podrían explicar la mayor supervivencia de corderos nacidos de ovejas esquiladas durante la gestación. In: JORNADAS URUGUAYAS DE BUIATRÍA, 35., 2005, Paysandú, Uruguay. Paysandú, UY: Centro Médico Veterinario de Paysandú, SUB, SMVU. 2007. p. 199-206.Tipo: Trabajos en Congresos/Conferencias |
Biblioteca(s): INIA La Estanzuela. |
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137. | | BANCHERO, G.; SPHOR, L.; VAZQUEZ, A.; QUINTANS, G. La esquila preparto temprana aumenta la producción de leche de ovejas para lana y el peso de los corderos al nacimiento y al destete. In: CONGRESO LATINOAMERICANO DE BUIATRÍA, 15., JORNADAS URUGUAYAS DE BUIATRÍA, 39., 2011, Paysandú, Uruguay. Resúmens. Paysandú, UY: Centro Médico Veterinario de Paysandú, 2011. p. 250-251.Tipo: Abstracts/Resúmenes |
Biblioteca(s): INIA La Estanzuela. |
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139. | | GANZÁBAL, A.; BANCHERO, G.; MONTOSSI, F.; CIAPPESONI, G.; RAVAGNOLO, O. Evaluation of reproductive performance of Polwarth crosses. In: Proceedings of the World Congress on Genetics Applied to Livestock Production, 8., Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil, August 13-18, 2006, p. 04.23.Tipo: Trabajos en Congresos/Conferencias |
Biblioteca(s): INIA Las Brujas. |
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Registros recuperados : 428 | |
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